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Main Topic: Cycling Fad
Bike trail sign
Retail fads in Asia are common. It is hard to remember a time when there was not at least one fad sweeping across the retail landscape, and each time, everyone is certain this fad had staying power and deep significance. Some of the fads are plain silly, while others actually seem to be positive developments. This episode is about the sudden growth in the cycling market mainly in Taiwan, but spreading to Singapore, and parts of China.
Some of the fads are silly, like 7-11 Disney character collections, where the little figures were hotly sought and bid up in online auctions. Some of the fads are are eatable, such as the donut fad, or the egg tart fad. Fads in Chinese settings almost always include a large social element, where the fad is consumed in social groups or used to gain face. Fads also often include an investment element, or should I say a get rich fast element? Bowling allies, exotic fish, and Taoist temple items to predict stock market moves. I have seen all these and more. Retail fads are common in Chinese cultural settings. An emphasis on group behavior, doing things together, and public face, mean that fads often incorporate high levels of spending. This fad came together as a health emphasis grew, as well as the never ending push from Giant (the local bicycle manufacturer).
Signs of a fad include the fact that outdoor exercise is generally frowned upon. Sun tans are to be avoided, and is why one can often see Chinese women walking outside with umbrellas deployed, sans rain. Yoga is a parallel fad taking place at the same time, and is more in line with what Chinese women think exercise should be.
The biggest beneficiary of this has been Taiwan's Giant Manufacturing, with domestic sales in Taiwan growing from US$185 million in 2005 to US$300 in 2010. Giant aggressively pushed new store designs to upgrade the brand image and integrate biking into daily life activities in Taiwan. Giant outlets in Taiwan doubled from 1,500 stores in 2008 to over 3,000 stores in 2010. The economic slowdown was blamed for slower growth in 2009, but all three leading brands, Giant, Merida, and Ideal, showed strong sales growth in early 2010. While the three brands are bullish on continued growth opportunities, emphasizing global health and environmental movements, their actions show some concern of getting caught out in a bubble. in 2010, Merida consolidated its store numbers and Giant attempted to focus on existing store upgrades. Giant is looking toward more sustainable markets, such as rental and biking group tours, in an attempt to integrate into lifestyles.
Giant's Stock Price During the Fad
One key to the Taiwan cycle boom is the low numbers of bike ownership. Bicycle ownership in Taiwan is approximately 1.3 per 100 people, compared to 4.4 in Europe, 6.8 in the USA. In China, ownership is 3.1 per 100 people and 9.9 in Japan. Given these numbers, it is clear Taiwan has a large space to grow. After the economic take off of the 1970s, bicycle ownership dropped and was linked more with less modern items. In China, this perspective will also hurt bike ownership, as consumers express aspirations to move beyond traditional items. China, like Taiwan, also suffers from a lack of safe locations to bike and dangerous car traffic. High-end bicycles, as D'Arcy mentioned in the video, are often an opportunity to gain face, showing big brand names and high prices. The clothes, helmets, gloves, etc., all can add on for a niche market with high profit margins, but limited in size and possibly creating a bubble that is unsustainable. Giant is very aware of this, and is trying to balance extending their high-end offerings while pushing education of consumers to buy into the longer term healthy lifestyle.
Here is a summary of the market as the fad winds down .
The culture does not emphasize you going off and doing your own thing with a small group.
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From Taichung, Stephen, James, and Clyde.
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Photos:
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(2) Biking clothes have quickly become key for anyone riding.
(2) Biking clothes have quickly become key for anyone riding.
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(3) Along with expensive bikes, come the expensive accessories.
(3) Along with expensive bikes, come the expensive accessories.
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(4) Night riding is popular.
(4) Night riding is popular.
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(5) Group outings are common.
(5) Group outings are common.
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(6) Walking the dog is a common reason to get a bike (combining two fads).
(6) Walking the dog is a common reason to get a bike (combining two fads).
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(7) High end bikes can be seen everywhere.
(7) High end bikes can be seen everywhere.
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(8) Families are biking together (all their equipment included).
(8) Families are biking together (all their equipment included).
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(9) Face masks protect against pollution.
(9) Face masks protect against pollution.
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(10) City governments have quickly established bike paths, with politicians claiming how many kilometers they have installed.
(10) City governments have quickly established bike paths, with politicians claiming how many kilometers they have installed.
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(11) Fund raisers integrate biking.
(11) Fund raisers integrate biking.
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(12) Typically highly organized activities, along with traffic management.
(12) Typically highly organized activities, along with traffic management.
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(13) Everyone needs to bring their own bike.
(13) Everyone needs to bring their own bike.
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(14) Bikers taking on a hill challenge.
(14) Bikers taking on a hill challenge.
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(15) Bike trail markings.
(15) Bike trail markings.
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(16) Sculpture marking a bike trail.
(16) Sculpture marking a bike trail.
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(17) Bike bridge over traffic.
(17) Bike bridge over traffic.
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(18) A clear sign of tax payer money at work.
(18) A clear sign of tax payer money at work.
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(19) Government notice of bike trail under construction.
(19) Government notice of bike trail under construction.
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(20) Bike trail outside of city.
(20) Bike trail outside of city.
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(21) Motorcycles not allowed, but they sneak on.
(21) Motorcycles not allowed, but they sneak on.
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(22) Bike trail logo.
(22) Bike trail logo.
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(23) Bike trail not suitable for children to use on their own.
(23) Bike trail not suitable for children to use on their own.
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(24) Used bikes and old men used to be the main sighting of bicycles.
(24) Used bikes and old men used to be the main sighting of bicycles.
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(25) Along trails, retailers take advantage of the crowds.
(25) Along trails, retailers take advantage of the crowds.
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(26) Sports drinks for sales seem like a good fit.
(26) Sports drinks for sales seem like a good fit.
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(27) Ice snacks are always popular, so why not while biking?
(27) Ice snacks are always popular, so why not while biking?
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(28) More drinks.
(28) More drinks.
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(29) And more drinks.
(29) And more drinks.
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(30) Retailers bunch together.
(30) Retailers bunch together.
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(31) Not just sports drinks, how about beer?
(31) Not just sports drinks, how about beer?
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(32) Taiwan beer stacked up.
(32) Taiwan beer stacked up.
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(33) Specialty drinks.
(33) Specialty drinks.
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(34) Decals for sale (lots of cartoon characters).
(34) Decals for sale (lots of cartoon characters).
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(35) Toys, since many of the groups passing by are families with children.
(35) Toys, since many of the groups passing by are families with children.
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(36) Islands of retailing along the bike path.
(36) Islands of retailing along the bike path.
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(37) Umbrellas protect against the sun and make the site look like a typical street market.
(37) Umbrellas protect against the sun and make the site look like a typical street market.
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(38) Typical of night markets, children's games (pinball).
(38) Typical of night markets, children's games (pinball).
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(39) A Mom takes a break from the bike path to let the kids play.
(39) A Mom takes a break from the bike path to let the kids play.
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(40) Bike clothing for sale.
(40) Bike clothing for sale.
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(41) All kinds of accessories for sale.
(41) All kinds of accessories for sale.
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(42) A bike path is lined by retailers.
(42) A bike path is lined by retailers.
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(43) Cold fruit juices for sale.
(43) Cold fruit juices for sale.
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(44) This retailer is working on more mkt communication with the brand signs.
(44) This retailer is working on more mkt communication with the brand signs.
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(45) Retailers get their signs sticking right out into the bike path.
(45) Retailers get their signs sticking right out into the bike path.
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(46) Hats for sale.
(46) Hats for sale.
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(47) Decals, mostly of popular Japanese characters.
(47) Decals, mostly of popular Japanese characters.
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(48) A high-tech folding bike, very popular in the fad's growth.
(48) A high-tech folding bike, very popular in the fad's growth.
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(49) A low-tech traditional bike.
(49) A low-tech traditional bike.
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(50) All kinds of accessories.
(50) All kinds of accessories.
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(51) Beer along with sports drink.
(51) Beer along with sports drink.
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(52) A transformer-like truck for ice snacks.
(52) A transformer-like truck for ice snacks.
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(53) Water tower marking the bike path underneath.
(53) Water tower marking the bike path underneath.
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(54) Taiwan bike paths can be very scenic.
(54) Taiwan bike paths can be very scenic.
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(55) Another bike bridge.
(55) Another bike bridge.
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(56) Built over three years during the peek of the fad.
(56) Built over three years during the peek of the fad.
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(57) Bike logo marking the bridge.
(57) Bike logo marking the bridge.
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(58) Giant is the local dominant retailer, but Merida has made big inroads.
(58) Giant is the local dominant retailer, but Merida has made big inroads.
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(59) Folding bikes on sale at a local electronics chain store.
(59) Folding bikes on sale at a local electronics chain store.
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(60) Bike accessories for sale in electronics shop.
(60) Bike accessories for sale in electronics shop.
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(61) Bike seat cushions.
(61) Bike seat cushions.
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(62) Many retailers have jumped in to the fad with folding bikes for sale.
(62) Many retailers have jumped in to the fad with folding bikes for sale.
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From shop to lifestyle
Bottom Line:
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Shortly after the recording of this episode, bicycle sales in Taiwan dropped sharply.
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Collective social values make fads easy to spread quickly.
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The bicycle fad is in direct opposition to common Chinese cultural values.
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Although a fad, a market segment may remain profitable for years.
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Giant has benefited from the fad and is trying to create a long-lasting profitable market.
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Giant is shifting from simple bicycle shops to an emphasis on lifestyle.